Texas A&M
W-L: (11- 1) PR = 90.4468Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H UTSA AME ( 7- 5, 77.0) 42-24 906 H Utah St MIDW ( 7- 7, 75.5) 44-22 913 A Notre Dame IND (10- 2, 94.1) 41-40 927 H Auburn SEC ( 5- 7, 82.3) 16-10 1004 H Miss St SEC ( 5- 8, 76.8) 31- 9 1011 H Florida SEC ( 4- 8, 79.1) 34-17 1018 A Arkansas SEC ( 2-10, 78.1) 45-42 1025 A LSU SEC ( 7- 6, 82.8) 49-25 1108 A Missouri SEC ( 8- 5, 84.0) 38-17 1115 H So Carolina SEC ( 4- 8, 77.4) 31-30 1122 H Samford 48- 0 1128 A Texas SEC (10- 3, 89.8) 17-27
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 H UTSA 42-24 18 19 0.00
906 H Utah St 44-22 22 20 0.00
913 A Notre Dame 41-40 1 -9 +++ 9.89
927 H Auburn 16-10 6 13 --- -7.44
1004 H Miss St 31- 9 22 19 0.00
1011 H Florida 34-17 17 17 0.00
1018 A Arkansas 45-42 3 7 -- -4.12
1025 A LSU 49-25 24 2 +++ 11.58
1108 A Missouri 38-17 21 1 +++ 12.81
1115 H So Carolina 31-30 1 18 --- -13.00
1128 A Texas 17-27 -10 -5 -- -5.42
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 927 H Auburn 16-10 6 13 --- -7.44 1115 H So Carolina 31-30 1 18 --- -13.00 1018 A Arkansas 45-42 3 7 -- -4.12 1128 A Texas 17-27 -10 -5 -- -5.42 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 913 A Notre Dame 41-40 1 -9 +++ 9.89 1025 A LSU 49-25 24 2 +++ 11.58 1108 A Missouri 38-17 21 1 +++ 12.81 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H UTSA ( 7- 5, 77.0) 42-24 -22.90 28.32 -5.26 1.16 53.46
3 H Utah St ( 7- 7, 75.5) 44-22 -24.37 26.85 -5.26 1.16 50.06
3 A Notre Dame (10- 2, 94.1) 41-40 -5.82 45.40 5.26 1.16 117.44
3 H Auburn ( 5- 7, 82.3) 16-10 -17.63 33.59 -5.26 1.16 65.67
3 H Miss St ( 5- 8, 76.8) 31- 9 -23.10 28.12 -5.26 1.16 53.00
3 H Florida ( 4- 8, 79.1) 34-17 -20.81 30.41 -5.26 1.16 58.30
3 A Arkansas ( 2-10, 78.1) 45-42 -21.84 29.38 5.26 1.16 80.31
3 A LSU ( 7- 6, 82.8) 49-25 -17.13 34.09 5.26 1.16 91.22
3 A Missouri ( 8- 5, 84.0) 38-17 -15.90 35.32 5.26 1.16 94.06
3 H So Carolina ( 4- 8, 77.4) 31-30 -22.50 28.72 -5.26 1.16 54.39
3 A Texas (10- 3, 89.8) 17-27 -10.13 41.09 5.26 1.16 -2.82
------
715.08
|
winning pts = 717.9009 losing points = -2.8249
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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